PHILADELPHIA -4 Cincinnati 46.5

Cleveland won 35-30 over the Browns but the final stats were much greater than the final score. Cleveland out gained Cincinnati 7.5yppl to 4.0yppl. They out rushed the Bengals 6.1ypr to 2.8ypr and out passed the Bengals 9.5yps to 4.5yps. If they weren’t running out the clock at the end of the half or game every Cleveland drive that didn’t result in a score ended at the Cincinnati 34, 2 or 26 yard line. Cleveland did score a touchdown on a drive that started at the Cincinnati one yard but only after they were stopped on downs at the Cincinnati two yard line.

The Rams were very impressive at Philadelphia last week. They averaged 6.7yppl and held Philly to 5.3yppl LA averaged 4.9ypr and rushed for 191 yards while allowing Philly 4.7ypr. They also averaged 9.2yps and held Philly to 5.6yps. Throw in a plus two in turnover margin and it was all Rams. LA scored their first touchdown on a drive that started at the Philly 41 following a turnover stopped two other drives by Philly with an interception in the end zone and stopped the Eagles on downs at the Rams 36 yard line. Philly also picked up a touchdown on a drive that started at the Rams 11 yard line. The Rams had seven plays of twenty plus yards while holding the Eagles to just two big plays.

Philadelphia qualifies in a negative situation based on their poor defensive performance last week, which is 133-78-5 and plays against them here. The Bengals also qualify in a road dog situation that plays on dogs when two average teams are playing, which is 209-132-10. My numbers favor Philadelphia by 7.3 points and project about 49 points.

Cincinnati allowed a ton of rushing yards last year and once again last week they allowed 215 yards rushing to Cleveland. The Bengals may get Geno Atkins and Mike Daniels back this week but remember they still allowed a lot of rushing yards last year with Atkins as well. The best medicine for Philadelphia is the ability to run the ball down a teams throat to settle down Carson Wentz. Cincinnati has lost 13 straight road games as an underdog and 14 of 15 since the start of 2018. They have lost six straight by at least five points. Since Philadelphia won the SB (Frank Reich left as offensive coordinator) the Eagles are just 3-9-1 ats as a home favorite. There is hope in Cincinnati with Joe Burrow but they were badly out gained last week in Cleveland despite the game being close on the scoreboard. This has the makings of a “get right” game for the Eagles this week. I have no opinion on this game. PHILADELPHIA 27 CINCINNATI 20